Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Reduce global warming, or reduce its 5th differential?

A differential equations model, to compare the delays and warming consequences of emissions-cutting versus sunlight-blocking

Sunday, October 16, 2022

What emergence theory can tell us about how we might save ourselves from global warming in our time - and entropy at the end of time.

Tuesday, September 13, 2022

 From the Atlantic Council's "New Atlanticist" :

ukraine-transatlantic-new-atlanticist.jpg
 
 
 
 
By Ira Straus

Atlantic leaders should treat the current conflict—just as they did the Cold War—as an opportunity to improve institutional capabilities.
 
 



Wednesday, July 13, 2022

NATO, Neutralizing the Threat of a Baltic Conflagration

by Andreas B. Olsson
Board Member, Center for War-Peace Studies

A paper on why Swedish and Finnish membership in NATO will stabilize the dormant but dangerous geo-political situation around the Baltic Sea.

READ: NATO, Neutralizing the Threat of a Baltic Conflagration


Wednesday, April 27, 2022

CFR Report calls for Urgency in Solar Geoengineering Research and Preparations

A special report from the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) calls on the U.S. to take major, urgent measures to increase research on solar geoengineering and sunlight reflection as a part of the answer to global warming.

Prepared by Stewart Patrick and released at the end of April 2022, the CFR report evaluates the existing approaches of emissions reductions and carbon removal. It finds them insufficient for preventing enormous warming risks, and likely to remain greatly insufficient for scientific and practical reasons that would be objectively very difficult to overcome. It concludes that sunlight reflection will probably be an indispensable component in preventing dangerous levels of global warming, and that research and preparations for this need to be greatly accelerated.

Awareness is growing of the need to proceed on this. In 2021 the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) issued a similar report, recommending to the U.S. government to invest in upgrading solar geoengineering research.

The CFR report recommends both greatly accelerated research and testing, and diplomatic and international governance preparations for carrying out sunlight reflection with global support and coordination. 

"This Council Special Report builds a compelling case... It is sad that such a report is necessary, but it will be even sadder still if we do not make exploring the potential of sunlight reflection an urgent priority.”

             -- CFR President Richard Haass

 “Sunlight reflection … could—in light of current warming trends and risk projections—make what is likely to be a lengthy transition to a decarbonized world tolerable. It is incumbent on countries to assess the feasibility and wisdom of pursuing this option and the institutions required to govern its potential deployment…. Given the stakes, the U.S. government is, at present, severely underinvesting in areas of science relevant to sunlight reflection.… It would be vastly preferable for the world to make progress on the science of sunlight reflection and to discuss its national and international governance openly today, so that policymakers are prepared to make informed decisions on its potential deployment tomorrow, rather than being forced to act out of ignorance on the fly when all other options have failed.”

                 -- “Reflecting Sunlight to Reduce Climate Risk: Priorities for Research and International Cooperation”, Council Special Report No. 93, April 2022. https://cdn.cfr.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/Patrick-CSR93-web.pdf

 

For the Center for War/Peace Studies (CWPS) initiative to upgrade work and awareness on sunlight reflection, see https://www.warpeacestudies.org/about-3

 

 


Tuesday, April 5, 2022

Zelensky calls for emergency global union to provide real security, a veto-free UN

 Zelensky called today for an emergency global union to provide real security, by abolishing the veto in the UN Security Council. 

What he is calling for is the central purpose of CW/PS. We are doing all we can to support his call for action here and now, in time to save the UN's purpose and Ukraine with it.

Here is his address to the Security Council:

https://www.c-span.org/video/?519301-1/ukraine-president-addresses-un-security-council&live&vod

        Help us and help Ukraine. Support our Ukraine-and-UN emergency reinforcement campaign. Join us. Write about it. Send a donation using our website, www.warpeacestudies.org/


Sunday, February 27, 2022

UKRAINE: TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY RECKONING

by Galen D. Kirkland
Executive Director for War-Peace Studies

All citizens of the world confront the same nagging questions today. Is humankind doomed to experience another paroxysm of human slaughter because of delusional designs for domination and control in the minds of a cadre of misguided people? Will the unpredictable dogs of war be loosed upon millions of people to inflict unspeakable suffering? Is the vast majority of peace-loving people unavoidably paralyzed in the role of passive observer as the nightmare unfolds? The truth that illuminates us all is that we always have the power to fight for peace. We can raise our voices and sacrifice our material comfort to support the global resistance to Russian aggression in Ukraine.

After World War II, there was a surge of international support for a world federation of nations in hopes that the obscenities of widespread war would never be repeated. The tangible result of this movement was the establishment of the United Nations with grand expectations. Pioneers like Lucy Webster, Richard Hudson, Hamilton Kean, and Myron Kronisch at the Center for War/Peace Studies developed proposals for a more effective United Nations through a more powerful federation of nations. They met with embassy and consular staff of many nations to advocate the adoption of the Binding Triad for a more rational voting system in the United Nations General Assembly, and they advocated for a reformed United Nations Security Council where more global representation could be achieved without vetoes by the big-five victors of World War II. 

These and other supporters of world federation around the globe dedicated many years of tireless work to the mission of creating a stronger global community that could better defend itself from dictators and rogue regimes. The present challenge of Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is a reckoning of whether humankind has developed the capacity to prevent a repeat of the violent tragedies of the past. Have we evolved sufficiently to use reason and diplomacy in place of unbridled violence? The answer to this pivotal test of the twenty-first century hinges on the consciousness and the courage of all citizens of the world. Are we prepared to do everything possible to succeed in rejecting violence by means of overwhelming sanctions? This will require isolating the Russian regime from the rest of the world effectively enough to make victories in battle self-defeating. Working together, we have the power to defend peace by creating an effective deterrence to violence.


Tuesday, January 5, 2021

Separating sanitary globalizations from globalizations that spread pandemics

 

 

Globalization of people and viruses

versus

globalization of trade and communications

 by Ira Straus

The two forms of globalization need to be separated, the one that harms public health -- globalization of people -- restricted. It is the way to rebuild better after this pandemic, and the only way to make globalization great again. 

   

There are two globalizations. COVID will change their balance enduringly. International personal travel will shrink.

Even without COVIC, a reduction of travel would have been inevitable in face of the progress of communications technology. Now we also know that it is also an imperative of global public health. Europe and America have paid a terrible price 

Happy New Year

Ira Straus

Chair, CWPS



It looks to be a terrible start on the year with the pandemic. But the vaccines are out and will start wiping out the virus -- as long as enough people take them. And as long as we maintain patience and restraint until then, and don't let the pandemic spread so uncontrollably that mutations start coming faster and thicker than we can keep up with them. Let's hope good sense prevails. Stay safe and get your vaccine when you can. And enjoy the rebuddings of life as they become safely available. The photo here, grace of one of those.