Four Pillars of AI Policy

A draft platform for work on AI and AGI

Shamir Human and Ira Straus

 

#1 Support continued and accelerated AI/AGI research and development.

 

#2 The focus for regulation should be on “channeling AI”, not “restricting AI”.

AI-AGI Series

CWPS is publishing a series of articles here on AI and AGI. 

We are publishing these as discussion articles, because of the pace of real-time developments in the field and the need to remain interactive with the moving reality.

Prehuman to Posthuman: The three stages of cognition, physical, biological, AGI+

A discussion article by Ira Straus

The evolution of intelligence seems to go in three stages,

            physical: electrons

                biological: neurons

                    meta-physical: physical in a higher form

The higher form could be AI-become-AGI. It could also be a synthesis of the electrons with neurons – AI-uplifted brains, neuron-uplifted AGI.

AI will create a World Government

 

by Ira Straus

 

A World Government has been an ultimate dream of philosophers for centuries -- and an ultimate nightmare for their opponents. Technology impelled it forward. It was a goal of mass movements after World War II. But it was rarely seen as a practical near-term prospect.

      AI promises to change that. If AGI (artificial general intelligence) is achieved, it is likely to become so rapidly self-reprogramming, self-improving, and self-strengthening as to be able to establish a world government of its own. And it is likely to decide to

Offense Without Limits: Radical Instability and the Rise of the AI–Drone Order

Policy Foresight Brief | October 2025

AI Analysis Team, Center for War/Peace Studies (CWPS)

Executive Summary

The global security architecture that stabilized during the nuclear age is breaking down. Mutual deterrence once depended on the certainty of retaliation — an equilibrium built on cost symmetry and survivable arsenals.

Today, that symmetry is collapsing. The rapid proliferation of autonomous drones and artificial intelligence (AI) systems has created a new era in which offense dominates defense. Drones are growing cheaper, and more powerful, scalable, and precise, at an accelerating pace. The new technologies can inflict strategic damage at a fraction of historical cost.

This shift threatens to usher in an extended period of radical instability, where the speed and reach of offensive systems overwhelm traditional defensive postures, and where governance — human or machine — becomes the only form of stability left.

From Deterrence to Destabilization

The nuclear age, for all its dangers, achieved a form of balance. Once major powers acquired secure second-strike capabilities, deterrence became stable. Costs of aggression outweighed gains, and mutual vulnerability sustained peace through fear.

That model is dissolving.

• Drones and AI systems are asymmetric by design: Cost inversion: A $20,000 drone can destroy a $2 million defense systems (The Economic Times)
• Swarm dynamics: Offense scales up exponentially; defense scales up linearly.
• Precision and anonymity: Attribution becomes harder, further undermining deterrence logic.

The economic and tactical advantages of offense lead to what we can term “strategic cost collapse.” This dynamic points to perpetual conflict below the threshold of declared war — a “hot peace” defined by continuous, low-cost aggression.

We’ll Need Solar not just Carbon Geoengineering to Stop Global Warming

by Ira Straus

 

Increased outward reflection of sunlight, or what is called "Solar Radiation Modification" (SRM) and “Solar Geoengineering”, is essential for stopping global warming in the near-to-medium term and heading off the growing damages from it. SRM would in fact give carbon reductions time to

A strong Trump America requires a strong Federal Government

Politicians fall every few decades for an impractical fantasy of ideologists: the fantasy about dispersing Federal departments away from Washington. This would do nothing for freedom and nothing for American power. But it would do a lot for making government more costly and inefficient. 

Politicians fall for this because ideologists keep falling for it. A lot of passion and rhetoric in America – libertarian rhetoric on Left and Right,

Our New Option in Post-Coup Russia

Lessons of the Coup Attempt: Putin shaken, West ill-prepared

 Gorbachev, the Tragic Hero of Federalism

                       By Ira Straus, in New World Federalist Papers

to read, go to  

https://www.wfm-igp.org/federalist-paper/gorbachev-the-tragic-hero-of-federalism/